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favored Isaac Herzog's

PostWysłany: 10 Kwiecień 2018, o 10:59
przez DMT
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Article From Article Directory Database
by Anat Shalev


JERUSALEM, March 18 (Xinhua) -- It has been quite a surprise that Israel's incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could make such a stunning victory in Tuesday's parliamentary elections.


According to the latest ballot counting, the Israeli leader won one fourth of the 120 seats of the Knesset (parliament), six seats more than what his key rival Isaac Herzog gained, leaving pollsters who failed to predict his re-election in rather embarrassing situation.


Earlier polls showed that Netanyahu might hand over the post to Herzog, leader of the center-left Zionist Union.


But unlike the pre-election polls, Netanyahu seemed to solidify his chance to serve a fourth term as Israel's prime minister, a new political record in the country.


There are two apparent explanations for Netanyahu's unforeseen victory, the accuracy of the polls and Netanyahu's last-minute campaign, analysts said


BIASED OPINION POLLS


Prof. Avi Dagani, owner and president of Geocartography Knowledge research group, thinks the polls done by Israeli media outlets in recent weeks, which favored Isaac Herzog's Zionist Union camp, were biased in their methodology and their geographical segmentation.


Some pollsters used the Internet, which is biased towards the center-left Israeli public, Dagani, who conducted telephone surveys exclusively and was the only pollster to predict a victory for Netanyahu, said in a conference call with foreign reporters on Wednesday.


"The Internet does not represent the state of Israel and the people of Israel. In the Internet there are panels that are biased towards the center-left, situated around Tel Aviv with better education, who are more prone to use this form of communication," he explained.


"I believe those who live in the periphery, who have a stronger tendency to vote for the Likud, were very poorly represented in those polls," he added.


He also believes the pollsters failed to analyze those who were hesitant and decided on their votes on the election day, an estimated ten to 15 percent of Israeli voters.


NETANYAHU'S EFFECTIVE LAST-MINUTE CAMPAIGN


In addition to the inaccuracy of the polls that underestimated the actual support for the Likud's, Prof. Dagani believes that Netanyahu succeeded in squeezing many votes from other right-wing satellite parties days before the elections started.


Over the past week, Netanyahu warned that a left-wing government would make far-reaching concessions to the Palestinians, stressing th.

favored Isaac Herzog's

PostWysłany: 5 Maj 2018, o 08:55
przez valdunn

Re: favored Isaac Herzog's

PostWysłany: 6 Grudzień 2019, o 00:42
przez valdunn

Re: favored Isaac Herzog's

PostWysłany: 12 Marzec 2021, o 06:59
przez valdunn
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